The Madrid Derby: More Than Bragging Rights On The Line

Real Madrid Betting TipsI hope you got on my each way tip last week for Victor Dubuisson to reach the final of the Accenture World Match Play golf, at a price of 90/1 at the time of writing, even a relatively modest £10 each way would have returned a couple of hundred pounds.

It would have been even more had Dubuisson managed to hold his nerve and win the tournament outright during the five-hole playoff.

This week, we turn our attention to the Primera Liga in Spain where the pride of Madrid, Atletico and Real, will clash in what is definitely the biggest game in Europe this coming weekend.

Both teams are in with a real chance of lifting the Primera Liga title this season, along with Barcelona, and the result of this game could be critical in deciding which of the two Madrid sides has the best chance of beating Barcelona to the league title.

Current Form

Atletico Madrid

Atletico currently lie in third place in La Liga, on the same number of points as Barcelona but with a worse goal difference.

More worryingly for Atletico boss Diego Simeone, his side go into the derby on the back of a humiliating 3-0 defeat to Osasuna last weekend, just days after Atletico had come away from the San Siro with a 1-0 win over Milan in the Champions League.

That defeat was Atletico’s second in four games (the other was to Almeria) and meant that Atletico fell from top position to third in the table following the weekend’s results.

Atletico have won six of their last ten, drawing two and losing two and they also can claim victory between the sides in the league clash earlier in the season, when they defeated Real 1-0 in the Bernebeu thanks to Diego Costa’s goal.

Real Madrid

Of the top three sides in Spain, Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid are undoubtedly the form team.

Their only two defeats in La Liga this season have come at home to Atletico and away at Barcelona and they have won eight of their last ten games, drawing the other two.

That form has seen them leapfrog both Barcelona and Atletico to take their place at the top of La Liga after 25 games, three points ahead of their two rivals.

Real will want to avenge their league defeat to Atletico earlier in the season, but can point to a 5-0 thumping of Atletico in the Spanish Cup semi final over two legs, which included a 3-0 victory at the Bernebeu and a 2-0 second leg win at the home of Atletico in the second leg; scene of Saturday’s huge clash.


This game features the two most prolific sharpshooters in La Liga this season, the first of these is Diego Costa, who has netted 21 goals for Atletico Madrid in the league this season and 26 goals in 28 appearances in all competitions.

Real Madrid though should welcome back Cristiano Ronaldo from suspension. The Portuguese Ballon D’Or winner has scored 22 league goals this season in just 21 games and has amassed an incredible 38 goals this season, from just 30 appearances in all competitions.

The match also pits the team with the best attacking record (Real Madrid with 71 league goals in 25 games) against the best defence (Atletico Madrid who have conceded just 19 goals in 25 league games).

In the league, Atletico have won 11 and drawn two of their 13 league games at home this season. Of their 13 away games this season, Real have won nine, drawn three and lost once.

This is the best away record in La Liga.

The teams have already met twice in 2014, when Real Madrid triumphed on both occasions in the Copa Del Rey semi final, winning 3-0 in the Bernebeu before following that up with an impressive 2-0 victory in the second leg at the Vicente Calderon.

Players to Watch

Atletico Madrid

Atletico have a number of talented players.

Diego Costa earns most of the striking plaudits but this is a team built on defensive stability and the likes of ‘keeper Thibault Courtois (on loan from Chelsea) and defenders Diego GodinMiranda and Francisco Juanfran have all caught the eye.

Atletico have some creative midfielders too with the likes of Arda Turan, Koke and Gabi all being worth watching.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid’s squad is packed with stars of the world game, though none shine brighter than current Ballon D’or holder, Cristiano Ronaldo.

Alonso and Modric anchor the midfield with Bale, di Maria and Isco creative forces. This is a team built for Ronaldo however and it is no surprise that it is the Portuguese ace who’s form tends to decide how well Real perform on a weekly basis.

Top Bets?

This is a match that will certainly capture the imagination of all fans of football in Spain and across Europe. Real seem to hold the advantage after having already beaten Atletico twice in 2014, and having by far the better form over the last ten games in general.

The return of Ronaldo will also be a huge boost to the team.

However, Real will have to contend with playing a crucial Champions League game against Schalke in the days leading up to the game, while Atletico will have the week off, having played their match last week in Milan.

Will Real suffer from tired legs as Atletico seemed to when going down 3-0 last weekend to Osasuna?

Historically, Real have an outstanding record at the Vicente Calderon, their last league defeat at the stadium coming back in 1999. They have won 10 and drawn 2 of the 12 league clashes at the Vicente Calderon since then.

As such, Real Madrid to win at 2.10 with Bet365 looks a good bet as it is rare that you can get better than even money on Real to win any game.

If you want a smaller risk but a decent return, then I fancy Real Madrid to come away with a 2-1 victory and you can back that at odds of 9.00 with Bet365 too.

Not yet a customer of Bet365? No worries, signing up is fast and easy, and right now new accountholders can cash in on over $200+ in free Bet365 Sports bonus offers.

Be sure to check back next week for our top sports picks for the week.

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