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Who Has The Advantage In The Exciting Premier League Title Run In?

There are just five games left for the top two in the Premier League, Manchester City and Liverpool, and with just one point separating the two teams, we are set for another classic end to the season.

In three of the last four years, these two teams have gone head-to-head for the title, Manchester City landing the victory by a single point in 2019, before Liverpool won the title in 2020 and then last year, City regained the league as Liverpool’s chances were derailed by injuries to four first choice centre halves.

However, what gives this run in additional spice is that the two teams have met recently, sharing a 2-2 draw at the Etihad in the league, before Liverpool won the FA Cup Semi Final at Wembley between the two teams 3-2.

Both teams are also very much in with a chance of reaching the Champions League semifinal, Manchester City hold a 4-3 lead over Real Madrid after their pulsating semifinal first leg last night, while Liverpool face Villarreal at Anfield in their semifinal first leg tie tonight.

City can still win the two biggest trophies they entered this season, but Liverpool could land an unprecedented quadruple of Carabao Cup, FA Cup, Premier League and Champions League, the first time any club will have achieved the feat.

We’ve taken a look at how the last few weeks of the season will pan out for both teams to give you an idea of what games they have left and who is most likely to come out on top. Any odds shown are courtesy of bet365 Sport.

Premier League Top Two

  1. Man City – P33, Pts 80, GD +59
  2. Liverpool – P33, Pts 79, GD +63

Not only do the top two have the best goalscoring and goals conceded record in the division (Liverpool scoring 85, Man City 80, Liverpool conceding 22, Man City 21) but they have also lost the fewest games of any teams, Liverpool losing twice, Man City three times.

The teams are 14 and 15 points clear of Chelsea in third place and 19 and 20 points clear of Arsenal in fourth.

Other Stats

Leading Goalscorers  – Liverpool have three players in the top five in the leading goalscorers chart in the Premier League with Mo Salah top with 22 goals, followed by Diogo Jota in fourth with 15 and Sadio Mane next with 14.

Assists – Three Liverpool players also top the assists chart with Mo Salah creating 13 goals, Trent Alexander-Arnold 12 and Andrew Robertson 10.

Meetings – The teams have met three times this season. Both games in the Premier League finished as 2-2 draws, while their recent FA Cup Semi Final finished as a 3-2 win for Liverpool. They could also meet one more time in the Champions League Final in Paris if both teams get through their semi finals.

Klopp V Guardiola – The managers have contested 24 games in their careers against each others teams.  Guardiola has won 8 of those games, six have been drawn and Klopp has won ten of the matches including the most recent game between the two.

Remaining Fixtures

Outlined below are the remaining fixtures for each team in all competitions. TBA fixtures are those that are still to be arranged after being postponed due to cup commitments. These games will be played before the final week of the Premier League season on the 22nd May.

Manchester City

  • Sat 30th Apr – v Leeds United (A) – Premier League (5.30pm)
  • Wed 4th May – v Real Madrid (A) – Champions League Semi Final 2nd Leg (8pm) – City lead 4-3 from the first leg
  • Sun 8th May – v Newcastle United (H) – Premier League (4.30pm)
  • Sun 15th May – v West Ham United (A) – Premier League (4.30pm)
  • Sun 22nd May – v Aston Villa (H) – Premier League (4pm)
  • TBA – v Wolverhampton Wanderers (A) – Premier League
  • Sat 28th May – Potential Champions League Final (v Liverpool/Villarreal)

City played their Champions League Semi Final first leg tie last night and earned a 4-3 victory over Real Madrid in what was a stunning game. They also have no further games in the FA Cup which means that they have a maximum of seven games still to play this season.

However, just two of those games are at home, but having said that, City’s form away from home this season is the best in the Premier League. However the games at West Ham, Wolves and Leeds do look like being tricky.

If City can win their final five games, they will be champions once again.

Liverpool

  • Wed 27th Apr – v Villarreal (H) – Champions League Semi Final 1st Leg (8pm)
  • Sat 30th Apr – v Newcastle United (A) – Premier League (12.30pm)
  • Tue 3rd May – v Villarreal (A) – Champions League Semi Final 2nd Leg (8pm)
  • Sat 7th May – v Tottenham (H) – Premier League (7.45pm)
  • Tue 10th May – v Aston Villa (A) – Premier league (8pm)
  • Sat 14th May – v Chelsea (N) – FA Cup Final – (4.45pm)
  • Sun 22nd May – v Wolves (H) – Premier League (4pm)
  • TBA – v Southampton (A) – Premier League
  • Sat 28th May – Potential Champions League Final (v Man City/Real Madrid)

In contrast, Liverpool have one more game to play than City in the run-in (not including tonight’s game with Villarreal) and that is the Reds FA Cup Final date with Chelsea on the 14th May.

That means the Reds game with Southampton has to be rearranged with that game likely to be played in the week following the FA Cup Final.

The Reds have a slightly tougher run in than City, with three away games and two at home. The game with Newcastle at the weekend will be tough due to it being an early kick off on the Saturday, while the home games with Spurs and Wolves won’t be easy, nor will the trip to Birmingham to face Aston Villa.

Current Odds

Bet365 currently have Manchester City as the 2/5 favourites to win the league title, with Liverpool 15/8.

City are also the even money favourites to win the Champions League, ahead of Liverpool who are 6/5, although those odds may well change once Liverpool’s semi final first leg tie is completed tonight.

Liverpool are even money to win the FA Cup, with Chelsea a 13/5 chance to land the victory at Wembley.

It promises to be a hugely exciting run in to the season and there should be plenty of drama and action across all those remaining games as we finally decide the major honours of what has been an amazing season in the Premier League and across Europe once again.

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